See below for Policy Work and Work in Progress


(joint with Dominic Rohner) (2018) Can Power-sharing Foster Peace? Evidence From Northern Ireland Economic Policy (forthcoming).

(joint with Christopher Rauh) Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text. Barcelona GSE Working Paper No. 990. American Political Science Review (forthcoming). Me trying to explain this project on Spanish radio Ondacero.

(joint with Tim Besley) (2017) Predation, Protection and Productivity: A Firm-Level Perspective.
American Economic Journal: Macro. (forthcoming). The online appendix for the article is here.

(joint with Tim Besley) (2017) Institutions, Volatility and Investment. Journal of the European Economic Association. (forthcoming). The online appendix for the article is here. Replication files are here.

Growth and Violence: Argument for a Per Capita Measure of Civil War. Economica (2016) 83(331): 473-497.

(joint with Rafael Hortala-Vallve) Primaries: The Unifying Force. Public Choice (2015) 163: 289-305.

Insulation or Patronage: Political Institutions and Bureaucratic Efficiency. B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy (2015) DOI: 10.1515/bejeap-2013-0084.

(joint with Tim Besley and Thiemo Fetzer) The Welfare Cost of Lawlessness: Evidence from Somali Piracy. Journal of the European Economic Association, (2015) 13(2): 203-239. The online appendix for the article is here. There is a nice piece in the FT by Tim Harford here.

(joint with Esther Hauk) Cultural Leaders and the Clash of Civilizations. Journal of Conflict Resolution, September 2013.

Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery - Comment, American Economic Review (2012) 102(7): 3774-77. A longer version of the paper is available here.

(joint with Tim Besley) Estimating the Peace Dividend: The impact of violence on house prices in Northern Ireland. American Economic Review (2012) 102(2), 810-833.

(joint with Maitreesh Ghatak) Thanks for Nothing? Welfare Effects of Not-for-Profits with Endogenous Matching. Journal of Public Economics (2011) 95(1-2), 94-105.

Why Russia Failed to Follow Poland: Lessons for Economists Revue d'etudes comparatives Est-Ouest (2007) 38, pp. 143-166.


Policy Work

How Much is Prevention Worth? Background note for joint United Nations and World Bank study: Pathways to Peace: Inclusive Approaches to Preventing Violent Conflict.

Recovery from Conflict : Lessons of Success. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, WPS7970.

The Economic Costs of Conflict. IGC Working Paper, April 2013.


Other Publications

(joint with Tim Besley) Cohesive Institutions and the Distribution of Political Rents: Theory and Evidence. In: Institutions, Governance and Corruption. Conference Volume. (forthcoming) .

(with Julia Tobias) The Cost of Violence – Estimating the Economic Impact of Conflict. IGC Growth Brief.


Work in Progress

(joint with Augustin Tapsoba) Access to Power, Political Institutions and Ethnic Favoritism. Barcelona GSE Working Paper No. 901.

(joint with Lidia Farré and Francesco Fasani) Feeling Useless: The Effect of Unemployment on Mental Health in the Great Recession. Barcelona GSE Working Paper No. 838.

(joint with Tim Besley) Political Institutions as Robust Control: Theory and Application to Economic Growth. (Previous version CEPR Discussion Papers, 10374.)

(joint with Dominic Rohner and David Schoenholzer) Tectonic Boundaries and Strongholds: The
Religious Geography of Violence in Northern Ireland
. HEC Working Paper 13.04.

Political Support and Candidate Choice. JEPS Working Paper 07-002.